Paradise Valley golf communities: listing success rates and how fast homes sell

Nov 11

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Over the past year, Paradise Valley's three golf course communities had 22 listings close and 22 get cancelled or expire. That works out to a combined listing success rate of 50%, calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners from our community pages, close to the 52% for the whole town. The averages hide a wide spread: one community closed 71% of its listings, another just 31%.

The short answer Listing success rates in Paradise Valley golf communities ranged from 71% at Paradise Valley Country Club to 57% in the Mountain Shadows area and 31% in Camelback Country Club Estates over the past 12 months. Homes that sold took a median of 53 to 90 days. All three show more than six months of supply, which leans toward buyers, but sample sizes are small, so one or two sales can change the picture.

What the data says

These figures come from the market sections of our own community pages, which use ARMLS data via Flexmls. Each page shows its own as of date. Paradise Valley has three communities on our golf course communities map, and each one has its own homes for sale page.

Camelback Country Club Estates: 5 sales, median $4,025,000, 85 days on market, 89.44% of final list price, 12.0 months of supply, 31% listing success rate (5 closed, 11 cancelled or expired) (our Camelback Country Club Estates page, 12 months to November 10, 2026)
Paradise Valley Country Club: 5 sales, median $3,700,000, 90 days, 95.12% of final list price, 9.6 months of supply, 71% success rate (5 closed, 2 cancelled or expired) (our Paradise Valley Country Club page, 12 months to November 10, 2026)
Mountain Shadows area: 12 sales, median $2,550,000, 53 days, 97.97% of final list price, 7.0 months of supply, 57% success rate (12 closed, 9 cancelled or expired) (our Mountain Shadows page, 12 months to November 6, 2026)
Paradise Valley townwide: 412 sales, median $3,812,500, 63 days, 96% of final list price, 6.6 months of supply, 52% success rate (412 closed, 375 cancelled or expired) (our Paradise Valley page, 12 months to November 6, 2026)
ZIP 85253: 407 sales, median $3,800,000, 62 days, 96.00% of final list price, 6.8 months of supply, 52% success rate (our 85253 page, 12 months to November 11, 2026)
Three golf communities combined: 22 closed and 22 cancelled or expired, a 50% success rate (calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners from the three community pages above)

Community by community

Camelback Country Club Estates

This neighborhood sits on the Paradise Valley and Scottsdale border next to Camelback Golf Club's two 18 hole courses, Ambiente and Padre, which our map labels as public. See current Camelback Country Club Estates homes for sale. The median home sold here was about 8,029 square feet, and all 5 sales closed above $1 million. The story is the gap between asking and selling. Sold homes closed at a median of 89.44% of final list price and 88.1% of original list price, and 11 listings ended without a sale. As of November 10, the 5 active listings had a median list price of $11,995,000, about 3.0 times the 12 month median sale price, a ratio calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners.

Paradise Valley Country Club

The private club's 18 hole course opened in 1957 and was designed by Lawrence Hughes, according to our community page. Browse Paradise Valley Country Club homes for sale. Of 7 listings that left the market, 5 closed. Homes sold at a median of 95.12% of final list price after 90 days. Supply is still high at about 9.6 months, because 4 homes were listed against roughly 0.4 sales a month.

Mountain Shadows

The Mountain Shadows area on Lincoln Drive covers resort residences and nearby single family homes below Camelback Mountain, with the resort's 18 hole, par 3 Short Course. See Mountain Shadows homes for sale. It was the fastest of the three, with a median of 53 days and 97.97% of final list price. None of its 7 active listings had a price change as of November 6. Resort residences and single family homes trade very differently here, so compare like with like.

See where Paradise Valley and these golf communities sit on our Northeast Valley map. For the town as a whole, start with Paradise Valley homes for sale or homes for sale in 85253.

What it means

The combined 50% rate looks a lot like the town's 52%, so being in a golf community alone is not making Paradise Valley homes sell faster. Pricing is doing more of the work. Where the gap between final list price and sale price was small, as at Mountain Shadows and Paradise Valley Country Club, more listings closed. Where the gap was large, as at Camelback Country Club Estates, more listings came off the market unsold.

Nearby golf communities outside the town limits are a useful check. The page for homes for sale in The Phoenician shows a 68% success rate, 33.5 median days, and a median of 100.17% of final list price in the 12 months to November 5, 2026. The page for Arizona Biltmore homes for sale shows 76%, with 13 closed and 4 cancelled or expired, to November 10. The Phoenician in particular has far more resale activity, with 84 sales in a year, which can make pricing easier to pin down.

Practical steps for buyers and sellers

Use the map to set your search area. On our golf course communities map, tap Zoom to Scottsdale and Paradise Valley, then switch between the Private clubs and Public courses filters. Paradise Valley Country Club shows under Private clubs, while Camelback Country Club Estates and Mountain Shadows show under Public courses. Tap a community to reach its homes for sale page.
Read the withdrawn listings, not just the sales. In a community with 5 sales a year, the cancelled and expired listings tell you as much about value as the closed ones.
Buyers: watch the list to sale gap. A median of 89.44% of final list price means room to negotiate on many homes, though every home is different.
Sellers: set a review date. Agree on a date, such as 30 or 45 days in, to revisit price if showings and offers are thin.
Avoid this mistake: pricing off the highest active listing. As an illustration calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners, a $4,000,000 list price closing at 89.44% would sell for about $3,577,600, roughly $422,400 below asking, before any other costs.
Confirm club details directly. Membership, fees, and access rules come from each club and can change.

The honest caveats

Sample sizes are very small: 5 sales each in two communities and 12 in the third. One sale can move a median or a success rate sharply.
Each community is defined on its own page, and the Mountain Shadows area includes resort residences and single family homes in the same figures.
As of dates differ by page, from November 5 to November 11, 2026, and figures update as new sales close.
A cancelled listing is not always a failed sale. Some sellers pull a home for personal reasons, to lease it, or to relist later.
Success rates do not account for condition, views, lot size, or price point within a community.

Frequently asked questions

What is a listing success rate?

A listing success rate is the share of listings that left the market over the past 12 months that closed, rather than being cancelled or expiring. On our community pages, a listing that was cancelled and then relisted counts as cancelled. A low rate means many sellers pulled their homes or let listings lapse without a sale.

Which Paradise Valley communities have golf courses?

Our golf course communities map lists three in Paradise Valley: Camelback Country Club Estates, next to the two courses of Camelback Golf Club; Paradise Valley Country Club, a private club with an 18 hole course that opened in 1957; and Mountain Shadows, a resort area with an 18 hole, par 3 short course. Camelback Country Club Estates sits on the Paradise Valley and Scottsdale border.

How many homes sold in Paradise Valley golf communities in the past year?

Our community pages show 5 sales in Camelback Country Club Estates and 5 in Paradise Valley Country Club in the 12 months to November 10, 2026, and 12 in the Mountain Shadows area in the 12 months to November 6, 2026. That is 22 sales across the three, compared with 412 sales townwide in the 12 months to November 6, 2026.

Which Paradise Valley golf community has the highest listing success rate?

Paradise Valley Country Club had the highest rate on our pages, 71%, with 5 listings closed and 2 cancelled or expired in the 12 months to November 10, 2026. Mountain Shadows was 57% and Camelback Country Club Estates was 31%. With so few listings, one or two outcomes can move these rates a lot.

Why is the Camelback Country Club Estates success rate so low?

Our page shows 5 listings closed and 11 cancelled or expired in the 12 months to November 10, 2026. Homes that closed sold at a median of 89.44% of their final list price, which suggests many listings started well above where buyers were willing to pay. The data does not show why each seller withdrew, so treat this as a pattern to ask about, not a verdict.

How long do homes take to sell in Paradise Valley golf communities?

Median days on market over the past 12 months were 85 days in Camelback Country Club Estates, 90 days in Paradise Valley Country Club, and 53 days in the Mountain Shadows area, according to our community pages. Townwide, Paradise Valley homes sold in a median of 63 days in the 12 months to November 6, 2026.

Is it a buyer's market in Paradise Valley golf communities?

By months of supply, all three lean toward buyers: about 12.0 months in Camelback Country Club Estates, 9.6 months in Paradise Valley Country Club, and 7.0 months in the Mountain Shadows area. Townwide supply was about 6.6 months as of November 6, 2026. With only a handful of sales a year, supply figures can swing quickly.

Do I have to join the club to buy a home in a Paradise Valley golf community?

It depends on the community and the club, and the rules can change. Our map labels Paradise Valley Country Club as private and the courses at Camelback Country Club Estates and Mountain Shadows as public. Confirm membership, fees, and any requirements directly with the club before you buy.

How do Paradise Valley golf communities compare with The Phoenician and Arizona Biltmore?

Nearby golf communities posted higher success rates on our pages: The Phoenician at 68% with 84 closed and 39 cancelled or expired, and Arizona Biltmore at 76% with 13 closed and 4 cancelled or expired. The Phoenician also sold at a median of 100.17% of final list price. They are in Scottsdale and Phoenix, not the Town of Paradise Valley, so treat them as a comparison, not a substitute.

What should a seller in a Paradise Valley golf community do differently?

Price against recent sales of the same home type in the same community, and look at the full year of withdrawn listings, not just the closed sales. In the communities with low success rates, the gap between list and sale price was the clearest warning sign. A pricing plan with a set review date can help avoid sitting on the market for months.

The bottom line

Paradise Valley's golf communities are not one market. Over the past year Paradise Valley Country Club closed most of its listings, Mountain Shadows sold fastest, and Camelback Country Club Estates saw more listings withdrawn than sold. Combined, they track the town at about half of listings closing. For buyers, that means room to negotiate in places. For sellers, it means pricing close to recent sales matters more than the golf course nearby.

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Browse homes: Paradise Valley homes for sale · Camelback Country Club Estates homes for sale · Paradise Valley Country Club homes for sale · Mountain Shadows homes for sale

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Kyle Hermann
Associate Broker | Realtor®
602.814.7266
kyle@azluxurypartners.com
License BR665419000
Meet Kyle

Cheryl Solano
CRS® | Realtor®
480.518.0181
cheryl@azluxurypartners.com
License SA541911000
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Art Buck
Associate Broker | Realtor® | CCIM
480.510.7689
art@azluxurypartners.com
License BR014102000
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Arizona Luxury Partners | Real Estate Group at RE/MAX Fine Properties

Sources

Arizona Luxury Partners, Camelback Country Club Estates homes for sale page, market data for November 10, 2025 to November 10, 2026 (ARMLS via Flexmls). Link
Arizona Luxury Partners, Paradise Valley Country Club homes for sale page, market data for November 10, 2025 to November 10, 2026 (ARMLS via Flexmls). Link
Arizona Luxury Partners, Mountain Shadows homes for sale page, market data for November 6, 2025 to November 6, 2026 (ARMLS via Flexmls; resort and course facts as cited there from Hospitality Net). Link
Arizona Luxury Partners, Paradise Valley homes for sale page, market data for November 6, 2025 to November 6, 2026 (ARMLS via Flexmls). Link
Arizona Luxury Partners, Paradise Valley 85253 homes for sale page, market data for November 11, 2025 to November 11, 2026 (ARMLS via Flexmls). Link
Arizona Luxury Partners, The Phoenician homes for sale page, market data for November 5, 2025 to November 5, 2026 (ARMLS via Flexmls). Link
Arizona Luxury Partners, Arizona Biltmore homes for sale page, market data for November 10, 2025 to November 10, 2026 (ARMLS via Flexmls). Link
Arizona Luxury Partners, Golf course communities map and club access labels, checked November 11, 2026. Link
Combined success rate calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners: 22 closed (5 + 5 + 12) and 22 cancelled or expired (11 + 2 + 9) across the three community pages, 22 of 44 = 50%.
List to sale illustration calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners: $4,000,000 x 89.44% = $3,577,600, a $422,400 difference; list to sale ratio: $11,995,000 median list price / $4,025,000 median sale price = about 3.0.

All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. This article is for general information only and is not financial, lending, legal, or tax advice. Arizona Luxury Partners | Real Estate Group at RE/MAX Fine Properties, 21020 N. Pima Road, Scottsdale, AZ 85255. Brokerage License LC629808000. Equal Housing Opportunity.

Kyle Hermann