The short answer

As of November 1, 2026, there are 1,511 homes, condos, and townhomes listed for sale in Surprise, with a median list price of $448,900. Over the past 12 months, 3,960 Surprise homes sold at a median price of $425,000, or $223 per square foot, after a median of 62 days on market. Homes closed at a median of 99.29% of their final list price. With about 4.6 months of supply, the market is close to balanced.

Source: ARMLS via Flexmls, calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners. Figures cover single-family homes, condos, townhomes, and patio homes with a Surprise address in Maricopa County in the MLS, as explained in the FAQ below.

The Surprise market, by the numbers

Closed residential sales, November 1, 2025 to November 1, 2026.

3,960
Homes sold in the past 12 months
$425,000
Median sale price
$223
Median price per square foot
62 days
Median days on market
99.29%
Median sale to final list price
97.02%
Median sale to original list price
1,511
Homes for sale today
4.6
Months of supply
1%
Sales at $1 million or more
66%
Closed sales with a seller concession
$10,000
Median seller concession, sales that had one
71%
Listing success rate

Months of supply is today's 1,511 listings divided by the 12 month average of about 330 sales per month. 30 of the 3,960 sales closed at $1 million or more. Seller concessions are seller paid buyer costs, such as closing costs or a rate buydown, as reported on the closed MLS record. Listing success rate is the share of listings that left the market over the past 12 months that closed rather than being cancelled or expiring: 3,960 closed and 1,579 cancelled or expired. A listing that was cancelled and relisted counts as cancelled.

Surprise median sale price, 10 years

Yearly median sale price of closed residential sales, 2016 to 2026.

Surprise median home sale price by year Line chart of the yearly median sale price from 2016 to 2026. The table below the chart lists every value. $0 $100K $200K $300K $400K $500K $600K 2016: $212,000 median, 3,572 sales 2016 $212K 2017: $227,000 median, 3,946 sales 2017 2018: $247,500 median, 3,908 sales 2018 2019: $265,000 median, 4,256 sales 2019 2020: $297,498 median, 4,364 sales 2020 2021: $385,000 median, 4,355 sales 2021 2022: $450,000 median, 3,430 sales 2022 $450K 2023: $420,000 median, 3,459 sales 2023 2024: $430,000 median, 3,505 sales 2024 2025: $422,580 median, 3,766 sales 2025 2026 year to date: $425,000 median, 3,366 sales 2026 YTD $425K

The median sale price for homes with a Surprise address went from $212,000 in 2016 to $422,580 in 2025, up 99%. The highest yearly median was $450,000 in 2022. So far this year, through November 1, 2026, the median is $425,000. A median is the middle sale of the year, so it moves with both prices and the mix of homes that sold. Ask us how values have changed for homes like yours.

See the yearly numbers
YearMedian sale priceHomes sold
2026 (through November 1, 2026)$425,0003,366
2025$422,5803,766
2024$430,0003,505
2023$420,0003,459
2022$450,0003,430
2021$385,0004,355
2020$297,4984,364
2019$265,0004,256
2018$247,5003,908
2017$227,0003,946
2016$212,0003,572

Source: ARMLS via Flexmls. Closed residential sales by calendar year, calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners.

What the numbers mean right now

Our read on the market, for buyers and for sellers.

Over the past 12 months, 3,960 homes with a Surprise address sold, and 1% of them closed at $1 million or more. Today 1,511 are listed for sale, and 814 of those have already had a price change.

Pricing is where homes win or sit. 945 of last year's sales, or 24%, went under contract within 30 days, at about 99% of list price on average. 941, or 24%, took more than 120 days, and those closed at about 92% of their original list price on average.

If you are buying

  • The typical home sold about 3% below its original list price, so there is room to negotiate on homes that have been listed a while.
  • 66% of sales included a seller concession. Ask about closing costs or a rate buydown as part of your offer.
  • Compare a home against recent sales in the same neighborhood and price range, not Surprise as a whole.
  • Get pre-approved first so you can act quickly when the right home comes up.

If you are selling

  • Your first month matters most. Homes that sold within 30 days closed at about 99% of list price on average.
  • Homes that sat more than 120 days closed at about 92% of their original list price, so pricing right at the start pays.
  • Price against recent sales in your own neighborhood, and show how your home compares on size, lot, and updates.
  • We can show you the exact sales we would use to price your home.

Get a Surprise home value

About Surprise

Homes, land, and amenities in Surprise, Arizona.

Surprise is a Northwest Valley city of master planned subdivisions and golf communities, with larger lots and open desert toward the north.

Population
175,304 (2025 Census estimate), 143,148 in the 2020 Census
Land area
110.30 square miles
School districts
Dysart Unified and Nadaburg Unified
Median home size sold
1,948 square feet over the past 12 months
Listings with a price change
814 of 1,511 active listings
Official site
City of Surprise

Surprise homes we have helped clients buy and sell

White-glove service at every price point.

A collection of our sold properties

Surprise homes for sale by ZIP code

Each ZIP code page has its own live search, 10 years of prices, and 12 months of sales data.

ZIP codeSold, 12 monthsMedian sale pricePrice per sq ftFor sale todayMonths of supply
85374899$375,000$2353654.9
85378140$335,000$220393.3
85379580$439,000$2122204.6
853871,800$442,500$2236564.4
85388541$465,000$2212325.1

Residential sales with a Surprise mailing address, in Maricopa County, November 1, 2025 to November 1, 2026, and active listings on November 1, 2026. ARMLS via Flexmls, calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners.

Nearby areas

Compare Surprise with other places we work.

Surprise questions, answered

How much do homes cost in Surprise?

The median sale price was $425,000 for the 3,960 homes, condos, and townhomes with a Surprise address that sold from November 1, 2025 to November 1, 2026, or $223 per square foot. Homes listed for sale on November 1, 2026 had a median list price of $448,900.

How many homes are for sale in Surprise right now?

As of November 1, 2026, 1,511 homes, condos, and townhomes with a Surprise address were listed for sale in the MLS. The search on this page updates continuously, so it always shows the current count.

How fast do homes sell in Surprise?

Homes that sold over the past 12 months spent a median of 62 days on the market and closed at a median of 99.29% of their final list price, or 97.02% of their original list price.

Is Surprise a buyer's market or a seller's market?

With 1,511 listings today and about 330 sales a month over the past year, Surprise has about 4.6 months of supply, which is close to balanced. Conditions vary a lot by price range and neighborhood, so ask us for the numbers on the homes you are considering.

How common are seller concessions in Surprise?

2,614 of the 3,960 closed sales, or 66%, reported a seller concession on the MLS record, such as seller paid closing costs or a rate buydown. Among the sales that had one, the median concession was $10,000.

How many listings actually sell in Surprise?

Of the 5,539 listings that left the market over the past 12 months, 3,960 closed and 1,579 were cancelled or expired, a listing success rate of 71%. A listing that was cancelled and then relisted counts as cancelled.

What school districts serve Surprise?

Surprise is served by Dysart Unified and Nadaburg Unified. Boundaries do not always follow city lines, so confirm the assigned schools for a specific address with the district.

How have Surprise home prices changed over the past 10 years?

The median sale price for homes with a Surprise address was $212,000 in 2016 and $422,580 in 2025, up 99%. The highest yearly median in that span was $450,000 in 2022. So far this year, through November 1, 2026, the median is $425,000.

How does this page define Surprise?

Our search and statistics include residential listings, meaning single-family homes, condos, townhomes, and patio homes, whose MLS city is Surprise in Maricopa County. The MLS city is the mailing address city, which does not always match city limits. Figures were calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners from ARMLS data on November 1, 2026.

Thinking about Surprise?

Your vision, your home, our expertise.

Tell us what you are looking for and we will send new Surprise listings that fit, along with the sales data behind each one. Our office is on Pima Road in north Scottsdale. White-glove service at every price point.

Your advisors

Kyle HermannAssociate Broker | Realtor®
602.814.7266
kyle@azluxurypartners.com
License BR665419000
Meet Kyle
Cheryl SolanoCRS® | Realtor®
480.518.0181
cheryl@azluxurypartners.com
License SA541911000
Meet Cheryl
Art BuckAssociate Broker | Realtor® | CCIM
480.510.7689
art@azluxurypartners.com
License BR014102000
Meet Art

Arizona Luxury Partners | Real Estate Group at RE/MAX Fine Properties

Sources

  1. ARMLS via Flexmls. Residential closed sales November 1, 2025 to November 1, 2026, and active listings on November 1, 2026, for listings whose MLS city is Surprise in Maricopa County. Medians and months of supply calculated by Arizona Luxury Partners.
  2. Population and land area: U.S. Census Bureau, accessed November 1, 2026.
  3. City information: City of Surprise, accessed November 1, 2026.
  4. ARMLS via Flexmls. Residential closed sales for each calendar year from 2016 through November 1, 2026, for listings whose MLS city is Surprise in Maricopa County, used for the 10 year median sale price chart.
  5. School districts: Wikipedia, Surprise, Arizona, accessed November 1, 2026.

All information provided is deemed reliable but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified. Listing information is provided by the Arizona Regional Multiple Listing Service and may not reflect all real estate activity in the market. Population and land area come from the U.S. Census Bureau. School district boundaries can change, so confirm the assigned schools for a specific address with the district. This page is for general information only and is not financial, lending, legal, or tax advice. Arizona Luxury Partners | Real Estate Group at RE/MAX Fine Properties, 21020 N. Pima Road, Scottsdale, AZ 85255. Office 480.766.1515. Brokerage License LC629808000. Equal Housing Opportunity.